Monday, November 2, 2026Pittsburgh ยท Newsletter
Hesitation Media

Enterprise investigative reporting and forecasting for people keeping up with current events.

Polls start closing at 6 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday, Nov. 3. Election Night Watch, hour by hour

Forecasts

Election coverage, data analysis and dated forecasts. Election pages report the odds that markets and forecasters publish; Slow Forecast pages give no odds and are updated with the record that settled them once their date passes.

Election Night Watch 2026

The House races that report first, the 17 Senate races in play, Pennsylvania's governor and legislature, market odds, and posts from 39 forecasters and analysts, hour by hour on Nov. 3.

Midterm history, 2018 to 2022

Three pieces built from county and precinct returns for the 2018 and 2022 midterms in the states with 2026 Senate battlegrounds, plus Pennsylvania: where the vote moved, which kinds of places moved it, and how to read the count on Nov. 3.

  1. What 2018 and 2022 say to watch on Nov. 3, county by county
  2. Which kinds of places moved between 2018 and 2022, and what to read on Nov. 3
  3. Reading Tuesday's county counts against a tied race

Slow Forecast

Dated decisions, and the record that will show how each one went.

No Slow Forecast pages yet.